Another heat from hell…
…in the Irish Greyhound Derby looms with 5 railers and one wide runner in the first semi-final heat.
The second heat looks more balanced with 2 railers, 2 middles, and 2 wides
So, where are we now with selections? Well I considered the prices on offer and the performances of dogs so far, and decided to take my own advice and added 3 more dogs at tempting prices with 1 point ew bets before the quarter–final stage last Saturday morning. I have to be careful, though, or I will box myself in and end up with no profit. (But then at my stakes... it is only a spot of fun!). It was fortunate that I did the extra bets as I lost Goldstar Lee, which looked a certainty to win its race in, of all things a 5 dog heat – it was last!
So, where are we now with selections? Well I considered the prices on offer and the performances of dogs so far, and decided to take my own advice and added 3 more dogs at tempting prices with 1 point ew bets before the quarter–final stage last Saturday morning. I have to be careful, though, or I will box myself in and end up with no profit. (But then at my stakes... it is only a spot of fun!). It was fortunate that I did the extra bets as I lost Goldstar Lee, which looked a certainty to win its race in, of all things a 5 dog heat – it was last!
The 3 I added were: Youllhavetogo 25/1 ew, Express Ego 20/1 ew and Ciaras Castle 14/1 ew.
Ciaras Castle went straight out that evening and cost me two points - so that was that…
Of the four, I now have 3 of them : Youllhavetogo, trap 2, Farloe Black, trap3, and Express Ego, trap 5, are all drawn together in first semi ; the heat from hell.
With all the shocks so far with the exit of Razldazl Billy, Bar The Devil and Goldstar Lee I won’t be surprised whatever happens.
Now, with the aid of the graphs I have produced, I will take a look at how I think the semi-final heats will go without being biased towards the selections I have already bet.
If Farloe Black, trap 3, in heat No 1 keeps up the good work, and having the best split time of 3.38 sec, I can’t see him being beaten except if there is a mad dash to the rails leading to crowding. I expect his speed will help him, here,to avoid trouble.
My second choice in the same heat is Ardkill Jamie who is a tough dog that has returned to form and won’t give in easily.
Tyrur Laurel should have a dream run in the wide berth, trap 6, and should get a place, and if there is enough trouble could steal it!
I have one selection in the second semi; Si Senor. He certainly has early figures good enough to win the whole contest but will he produce them? He has the best sectional time, very marginally, from Tyrur Rhino and Groovy Stan. If he pings the lids I think he will qualify and, indeed ,win the heat. If he comes back to his best he should be unstoppable.
I’m going for Groovy Stan to be placed 2nd with good early performance figures and a good split time.
I was between So Determined and Toosey Blue, the only English hope, for the 3rd spot. I’m going for So Determined after his last bad run, again, because the split time is slightly better than Toosey Blue’s.
At this stage, and the Final stage, trainers seem to pull out some amazing performances from their charges – remember the improvement of Razldazl Billy to take the crown? So be prepared!
The Roman Numerals on the graphs are the best split times. If you wish to enlarge the graph, left click on the mouse. If you make your selection from the graph and get it wrong, don’t blame the graph – it is only a tool.
Ciaras Castle went straight out that evening and cost me two points - so that was that…
Of the four, I now have 3 of them : Youllhavetogo, trap 2, Farloe Black, trap3, and Express Ego, trap 5, are all drawn together in first semi ; the heat from hell.
With all the shocks so far with the exit of Razldazl Billy, Bar The Devil and Goldstar Lee I won’t be surprised whatever happens.
Now, with the aid of the graphs I have produced, I will take a look at how I think the semi-final heats will go without being biased towards the selections I have already bet.
If Farloe Black, trap 3, in heat No 1 keeps up the good work, and having the best split time of 3.38 sec, I can’t see him being beaten except if there is a mad dash to the rails leading to crowding. I expect his speed will help him, here,to avoid trouble.
My second choice in the same heat is Ardkill Jamie who is a tough dog that has returned to form and won’t give in easily.
Tyrur Laurel should have a dream run in the wide berth, trap 6, and should get a place, and if there is enough trouble could steal it!
I have one selection in the second semi; Si Senor. He certainly has early figures good enough to win the whole contest but will he produce them? He has the best sectional time, very marginally, from Tyrur Rhino and Groovy Stan. If he pings the lids I think he will qualify and, indeed ,win the heat. If he comes back to his best he should be unstoppable.
I’m going for Groovy Stan to be placed 2nd with good early performance figures and a good split time.
I was between So Determined and Toosey Blue, the only English hope, for the 3rd spot. I’m going for So Determined after his last bad run, again, because the split time is slightly better than Toosey Blue’s.
At this stage, and the Final stage, trainers seem to pull out some amazing performances from their charges – remember the improvement of Razldazl Billy to take the crown? So be prepared!
The Roman Numerals on the graphs are the best split times. If you wish to enlarge the graph, left click on the mouse. If you make your selection from the graph and get it wrong, don’t blame the graph – it is only a tool.
Come racing!!
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