Hail! Clash Harmonica...
...winning the Nottingham Eclipse in a stunning time of 29.50 by 4 1/4 lengths from Broadacres Rob; Zigzag Dutchy ran third.
I was disappointed that Broadacres Rob - the dog I had bet at 33/1- was beaten but at least I managed to pick up the each way money.
I would have made a profit of 3 1/4 points except that I put 2 points saver on Eye Ofthe Veto at 4/1. It was last.
So my final tally was 1 1/4 points profit. Not much; but at least it was free betting; it was Broadacres Rob that saved me by winning its heat in the semi-final and picking me up 7.25 points in the final.
I'll be on the lookout for something more soon...in the meantime...
Come racing!!
Monday, November 20, 2006
Thursday, November 16, 2006
Keep an 'Eye on the Veto'...
...in trap 6 in the Nottingham Eclipse. It's made significant improvement in its last run, doing a cracking time of 29.69 over the 500m.
Looking at the graph Zigzag Dutchy has a great chance with such consistent figures and Carleones Rammi shows steady improvement
to clock 30.08.
I'm hoping, as usual, that the dog I have got in the race Broadacres Rob wins (33/1) but his figures are on a par with Clash Harmonica which don't look good enough. They are both not out of it, though, and David Pruhs has won this race twice before!
Mackrel Sky looks too far down in the graph to pose a threat. (But I have said similar before and been so wrong!)
If you haven't got a bet on this race yet it could be between Zigzag Dutchy at Corals price of 7/4 or take a chance on Eye Onthe Veto at Betfred's odds of 4/1 and hope that the last run it made wasn't a fluke!
Come racing!!
...in trap 6 in the Nottingham Eclipse. It's made significant improvement in its last run, doing a cracking time of 29.69 over the 500m.
Looking at the graph Zigzag Dutchy has a great chance with such consistent figures and Carleones Rammi shows steady improvement
to clock 30.08.
I'm hoping, as usual, that the dog I have got in the race Broadacres Rob wins (33/1) but his figures are on a par with Clash Harmonica which don't look good enough. They are both not out of it, though, and David Pruhs has won this race twice before!
Mackrel Sky looks too far down in the graph to pose a threat. (But I have said similar before and been so wrong!)
If you haven't got a bet on this race yet it could be between Zigzag Dutchy at Corals price of 7/4 or take a chance on Eye Onthe Veto at Betfred's odds of 4/1 and hope that the last run it made wasn't a fluke!
Come racing!!
Friday, November 10, 2006
The Betfred Eclipse is run at Nottingham…
…on the 20th November, which gives us time to sort out a few bets.
Let’s start by saying that it is aiming for the semi-final stage on Monday 13th Nov, but we can still get a bet on the outcome of the final. Although the place bets are 1/4 odds for only 3 places; which isn’t so good.
There are 18 runners in the three semi-finals. I have selected one dog from each semi which means that the dog selected for each race will have to run at least into second spot. Which is a tall order; but here goes…
I have ranked the 18 dogs based on ‘good pace’ and have allocated my tissue price to each greyhound and come up with a ‘value’ bet. I’ve taken note of the stiff opposition in the shape of Clash Harmonica, Zigzag Dutchy and West Tipp who will take a bit of beating; but there is always hope in dog racing and I wouldn’t find it interesting to go along with the ‘crowd’.
Selection Bubbly Tojo 60/88. My price: 12/1; Ladbrokes 25/1. I point ew.
From 2nd semi Broadacres Rob 60/78. My price 7/1; Coral’s 33/1. 1 point ew .
From 3rd semi Droopys Sami 60/72. My price:5/1; Coral’s 10/1. 2 points win
There are no prices for betting on the semi–finals yet, but I will probably support those dogs when prices are available. If they are ‘value’.
One dog into the final will keep the interest going. Good luck!
Come racing!!
…on the 20th November, which gives us time to sort out a few bets.
Let’s start by saying that it is aiming for the semi-final stage on Monday 13th Nov, but we can still get a bet on the outcome of the final. Although the place bets are 1/4 odds for only 3 places; which isn’t so good.
There are 18 runners in the three semi-finals. I have selected one dog from each semi which means that the dog selected for each race will have to run at least into second spot. Which is a tall order; but here goes…
I have ranked the 18 dogs based on ‘good pace’ and have allocated my tissue price to each greyhound and come up with a ‘value’ bet. I’ve taken note of the stiff opposition in the shape of Clash Harmonica, Zigzag Dutchy and West Tipp who will take a bit of beating; but there is always hope in dog racing and I wouldn’t find it interesting to go along with the ‘crowd’.
Selection Bubbly Tojo 60/88. My price: 12/1; Ladbrokes 25/1. I point ew.
From 2nd semi Broadacres Rob 60/78. My price 7/1; Coral’s 33/1. 1 point ew .
From 3rd semi Droopys Sami 60/72. My price:5/1; Coral’s 10/1. 2 points win
There are no prices for betting on the semi–finals yet, but I will probably support those dogs when prices are available. If they are ‘value’.
One dog into the final will keep the interest going. Good luck!
Come racing!!
Tuesday, November 07, 2006
Ninja Blue is the worthy champion …
… in the Wimbledon St Leger beating Westmead Olivia in a photo finish by a short head.
It was an exciting race that could easily have been a dead heat. The big surprise was the running of Blissful Classic, a dog I had dismissed, who finished 3rd !
I said in my last blog that in order to win Westmead Olivia needed to improve on her sectional time of 15.72 sec. She didn’t; it was 15.73. Ninja Blue’s split time was 15.52 – fastest out of the trap. It made all the difference.
Fabulous Sophie was outclassed in the end, finishing 4th and as I was sure it was unlikely to win, after studying my graph, I put 2 points win on Westmead Olivia at 9/2 as a saver - which, in fact was a loser, which increased my losses by 2 points. My total loss (I’d won a little in the heats) was: 11 3/4 points. Not a great amount; but that is racing!
On the same Wimbledon Card on Sky Sport I was pleased to see Amarillo Slim and Temple Lad competing against each other. Perhaps you will remember these two from an earlier blog? They had both ran with great distinction earlier in the season; and I have bet them both in the 2007 Derby at good prices. Well, Amarillo Slim finished last in the Wimbledon race (possible injury) but Temple Lad who had come in as a reserve won in great style at 5/1. I didn’t back either as I did not know they were running. Keep them in mind as good dogs to follow.
I’m not sure what race I’ll tackle next - but there will be one… excuse me while I go and lick my wounds…!
Come racing!!
… in the Wimbledon St Leger beating Westmead Olivia in a photo finish by a short head.
It was an exciting race that could easily have been a dead heat. The big surprise was the running of Blissful Classic, a dog I had dismissed, who finished 3rd !
I said in my last blog that in order to win Westmead Olivia needed to improve on her sectional time of 15.72 sec. She didn’t; it was 15.73. Ninja Blue’s split time was 15.52 – fastest out of the trap. It made all the difference.
Fabulous Sophie was outclassed in the end, finishing 4th and as I was sure it was unlikely to win, after studying my graph, I put 2 points win on Westmead Olivia at 9/2 as a saver - which, in fact was a loser, which increased my losses by 2 points. My total loss (I’d won a little in the heats) was: 11 3/4 points. Not a great amount; but that is racing!
On the same Wimbledon Card on Sky Sport I was pleased to see Amarillo Slim and Temple Lad competing against each other. Perhaps you will remember these two from an earlier blog? They had both ran with great distinction earlier in the season; and I have bet them both in the 2007 Derby at good prices. Well, Amarillo Slim finished last in the Wimbledon race (possible injury) but Temple Lad who had come in as a reserve won in great style at 5/1. I didn’t back either as I did not know they were running. Keep them in mind as good dogs to follow.
I’m not sure what race I’ll tackle next - but there will be one… excuse me while I go and lick my wounds…!
Come racing!!
Friday, November 03, 2006
Fabulous Sophie goes for the greyhound St Leger Final...
... but what's her chances ?
A look at the graph indicates that she is not out of it but others look like they have shown a better steady improvement.
Let's look at what we think we can eliminate to give us an edge...Blissful Classic in trap 6 looks like it is out of it; so that goes.
Ninja Blue is the best trapper with a 15.35 split time and it has done nothing wrong so far so I reckon it will be in the shake-up at the end.
Blackmagic Guy is a significant improver but I feel that it won't quite make it; even though it has a good sectional time of 15.48.
Fabulous Sophie and Daisyfield Seani's performance looks on a par except Daiseyfield has a better sectional time.
So, although I hope Fabulous Sophie wins - because I've bet her ante- post at 12/1- it looks to me that Westmead Olivia at 9/2 (Ladbrokes and Coral) is the good value bet, to improve once more, and take the trophy with Ninja Blue as second string at a great value price of 4/1 Coral.
Westmead will have to get out quicker than 15.72 sec, though!
Come racing!!
... but what's her chances ?
A look at the graph indicates that she is not out of it but others look like they have shown a better steady improvement.
Let's look at what we think we can eliminate to give us an edge...Blissful Classic in trap 6 looks like it is out of it; so that goes.
Ninja Blue is the best trapper with a 15.35 split time and it has done nothing wrong so far so I reckon it will be in the shake-up at the end.
Blackmagic Guy is a significant improver but I feel that it won't quite make it; even though it has a good sectional time of 15.48.
Fabulous Sophie and Daisyfield Seani's performance looks on a par except Daiseyfield has a better sectional time.
So, although I hope Fabulous Sophie wins - because I've bet her ante- post at 12/1- it looks to me that Westmead Olivia at 9/2 (Ladbrokes and Coral) is the good value bet, to improve once more, and take the trophy with Ninja Blue as second string at a great value price of 4/1 Coral.
Westmead will have to get out quicker than 15.72 sec, though!
Come racing!!
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