...I haven't followed the heats of this 500m competition; but I have found time to make a graph which has 2 runs on it (the heat and the semi-final) but it is highly illuminatimg, for all that.
Droopys Sami is an interesting dog having only run two times in its career; both runs in the 29.20 range. It looks, in the graph, like a worthy, if inexperienced, favourite at around 7/4. If it can duplicate its last run it should be good enough to win this contest.
Examining the graph, again, the dog that could rob Droopys of victory appears to be Farloe Hobbs. At around 3/1 it seems like the next logical best bet if you want to take on the favourite.
You would need at least a 5 point stake to make any money out of this race. I will bet one or the other but will leave it until the Final on Saturday to bet as I could lose my stake if one of them is withdrawn.
The bookies odds are at the top of the graph; the price tissue I have made is at the bottom. I've put 2/1 Farloe Hobbs; the bookies have got it at least 3/1 or 100/30, so in my book that makes it a 'value' bet.
I like betting 'value,' so that might be just what I will plonk for.We'll see...
Examine the graph; make up your own mind, it's your money!
Come racing!!
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