I’m in a fairly rosy position after the semi-final heats of the Irish Derby…

… with three of my ante-post bets in the final!! The favourite: He Said So, was a surprising elimination in that round!

My three remaining bets – from over a hundred dogs are:
Barefoot Jenny 50/1
Antrim Classic 33/1
Skywalker Magic 50/1
All each way at ¼ odds 1,2,3,4, places.

Barring withdrawals, or accidents, one of my dogs is certain to get at least 4th place.

To speculate on the possible minimum return of 1 point each way if:
Antrim Classic, 4th place or better, return = 8¼ points.
Barefoot Jenny = 12½
Skywalker Magic= 12½

If:
Two 50/1 get placed, 12½ +12 ½ = 25 points
All 3 get placed, 8¼ +12 ½ + 12 ½ = 33¼

If:
Either 50/1 wins, 50+12½ = 62½ points
33/1 wins, 33+ 8¼ = 41¼

If:
Either 50/1 wins and 50/1 placed, 50+ 12 1/2+ 12 1/2 = 75
Either 50/1 wins and 33/1 placed, 50+12 1/2+8¼ = 70 3/4
33/1 wins and 50/1placed, 33/1+ 8 1/4+12 ½ = 53 3/4
33/1 wins and two 50/1 placed, 33+ 8 1/4+12½+12½ = 66 1/4
50/1 wins and 50/1 and 33/1 placed, 50+12½+12 1/2+8 ¼ = 83 1/2 (The best scenario)

Of course I have take off the cost of betting dogs that eliminated but I will calculate that later to see if I end up in profit. Although I did bet I point at 12/1 on Barefoot Jenny to win her semi-final, which she did, so that will take care of some losses!

Let’s hope it is not the minimum return of 8¼ that I pick up. But that is racing…
I wonder what the outcome will be?

I wonder what the odds are on all 3 dogs ending up in first 2nd and 3rd? Could happen!

I hope to put the Derby Final graph on the next blog.

Come racing!!