Tuesday, September 12, 2006

I’m having a go at the William Hill Northumberland Plate…

…This contest is held at Brough Park over 670 metres, and because these animals have run over a multitude of distances it will be a difficult greyhound contest to work out; also most have been running in handicaps which are not very good races to compile a speed reference from.

I’ve been through the list of the 18 dogs involved and I have ranked them in speed figures; as I have seen them. I have allocated my price to each dog from 5/1 to 100/1. But the bookies ranking is from 7/1 to 33/1. I find it difficult to believe they haven’t gone to at least 66/1 - but then they don’t really gamble; do they?

Anyway, my top 4 dogs, which I have priced, are from 5/1 to 10/1.

They are as follows:-

Lundhill Lass 60/98 speed; my price 5/1; bookies price 16/1 ew 1.2.3. Excellent value bet.(1 point ew)
Magna Mike 61/61 speed; my price 6/1; bookies price 10/1. Good value, win only. (2 points win).
Stitchill Bronze 61/62speed; my price 8/1; bookies price 20/1 ew 1.2.3. Excellent value (1 point ew).
Droopys Rokocoko 62/11 speed; my price 10/1 ew 1.2.3; bookies price 12/1 ew 1.2.3 Slight value (1 point ew).

I have put on some side bets on the 3 heats tonight. If they win they will pay for my bets on the Final. Here’s hoping for a good run!

Come racing!!

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